02 « April « 2008 « Investment Postcards from Cape Town

Housing dynamics

By Prieur du Plessis, on April 2nd, 2008 posted in: South Africa

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By Cees Bruggemans

With housing booms coming off the boil, spectacularly imploding in the US, where an average 25% price decline is in progress, but with the glue also undone in formerly overheated hotspots such as Spain, Ireland and UK, there has been growing anxiety about our own housing market.

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A $1 million wager for gold bears

By Prieur du Plessis, on April 2nd, 2008 posted in: Gold, Investment, Markets, Money

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Gold bullion is under water at the moment with the price having dived sharply over the past two weeks. This move has triggered a myriad opinions ranging from the end of gold’s 7-year bull market to a mere healthy correction in an ongoing uptrend. But few pundits have as strong a conviction as Jim Sinclair who is putting his money where his mouth is – $1 million smackaroos to be exact that the gold price will trade at US$1,650 before the second week of January 2011. Any takers? [...]

Currency notes as firewood?

By Prieur du Plessis, on April 2nd, 2008 posted in: Economy, Investment

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Ever wondered why the European Central Bank is so petrified about a resurgence of inflation? A picture tells a thousand words … [...]

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ECRI Leading Indicator: Turning for the better?
The latest smoothed annualized growth rate of the ECRI Weekly Leading Indicator in the week ended 22 January improved from… »
Roach on U.S. economy, Fed policy, China, Europe
Stephen Roach, non-executive chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, discusses the U.S. economy, Federal Reserve monetary policy,… »
Prieur’s Readings (Jan 30, 2012)
As part of my daily routine, I publish all my reading (including snippets from other well-known commentators) in an Internet… »
How best to play the China story
Helen Zhu, chief China equity strategist of Goldman Sachs, believes the mainland will see policy normalization in 2012. In… »
European choices
The article below is a guest contribution by Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist of First National Bank. Last week, the Euro area… »