US Stock Market – Muddling Through the Fundamentals

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A shrinking economy bodes ill for corporate earnings and current indications are that the S&P 500 Index’s earnings could be down by as much as 30% to 40% in year-ago terms by the end of Q2 2008. The key to assessing valuation levels, however, is to get a grip on the forward numbers. This post analyses this aspect and concludes that it would be irrational to bank on above-average returns from these valuation levels. A muddle-through outlook seems to be what the US stock market has in store. [...]

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Inflation Bang!

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Source: Tom Toles, The Washington Post, June 17, 2008.

 

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Xenophobia – a different perspective

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By Cees Bruggemans

As a foreigner of longstanding in this country, I have some interest in the phenomenon that got a burning man on the front page of the New York Times and Financial Times last month, in addition to numerous local papers.

What’s going on?

It has been a [...]

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Fitch revises South Africa’s credit rating

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By Kevin Lings

Fitch Ratings has revised the outlook for South Africa’s long-term foreign currency rating of ‘BBB+’ from Positive to Stable.

According to Fitch, “the revision of the outlook reflects a reassessment of South Africa’s medium-term potential growth prospects as supply side constraints have become more visible in 2008 and [...]

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Words from the (investment) wise for the week that was (June 9 – 15, 2008)

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Central bankers’ inflation-fighting rhetoric moved to centre stage over the past week. A succession of hawkish comments from US policymakers persuaded pundits that the US rate-cutting cycle was over, resulting in a stronger US dollar, plummeting government bonds, predominantly lower global stock markets (with Asia seeing the most red), and non-agricultural commodities coming off the boil. Read all about this in my weekly review, highlighting some thought-provoking news items and quotes from market commentators during the past week. [...]

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Sex and the Stimulus Package: “More Bang For The Buck”?!

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“It seems the down economy is hurting every business, even the oldest profession. The Moonlight BunnyRanch in Carson City, a legal brothel featured on HBO’s ‘Cathouse’, is offering the first 100 customers who show up with their stimulus rebate checks twice the ‘services’ for the same price.

“They’re calling [...]

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