Comments on: Stock markets – keep an eye on confidence measures http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/ Prieur du Plessis’s international investment blog Sun, 29 Jan 2012 22:06:48 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1.1 By: William Burkharthttp://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/comment-page-1/#comment-10086 William Burkhart Fri, 27 Mar 2009 04:04:31 +0000 http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/#comment-10086 The fundamental underpinning of any "con" is gaining and keeping the confidence of who you are going to fleece. Since the U.S. monetary system and financial markets are finally coming unraveled and exposed for what they truly are--one big con, it should not come as any surprise that we are so interested in confidence measures. Sadly, people are still gullible enough to think that they are not getting conned by the bankers and politicians, hence the rise in "con"fidence! The fundamental underpinning of any “con” is gaining and keeping the confidence of who you are going to fleece. Since the U.S. monetary system and financial markets are finally coming unraveled and exposed for what they truly are–one big con, it should not come as any surprise that we are so interested in confidence measures. Sadly, people are still gullible enough to think that they are not getting conned by the bankers and politicians, hence the rise in “con”fidence!

]]> By: Frank Whttp://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/comment-page-1/#comment-10082 Frank W Fri, 27 Mar 2009 01:00:55 +0000 http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/#comment-10082 This information is very interesting. Some months back a couple of academics did an analysis of the relationship between consumer confidence and consumer behavior in terms of retail buying. They found that there was none. There was no relationship either in terms of current buying or future buying. This information is very interesting. Some months back a couple of academics did an analysis of the relationship between consumer confidence and consumer behavior in terms of retail buying. They found that there was none. There was no relationship either in terms of current buying or future buying.

]]> By: Eduardo Mirahyeshttp://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/comment-page-1/#comment-10079 Eduardo Mirahyes Thu, 26 Mar 2009 21:22:58 +0000 http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/#comment-10079 The rally just ending is not enduring. The technical structure, called a Diagonal Triangle, (Diag >) indicates a dramatic reversal, once we take out the old low. Given the jittery market, we will likely have a panic bottoming. But once we do, we swiftly bounce right back to the current level in stocks and continue higher in the Mother of all Rallies headed for the final Market Orgy and Bubble Top. Although a Bear Market Rally, it should be one of the fastest markets of all time, record Monetary Stimulus = Record Euphoria. As always, Bear market Rallies are concentrated in a small group of stocks: this time the Dow 30 and the Russell 2000 are the index winners. Returns on the S&P and NASDAQ will be pale by comparison. The S&P can only make a triple top at the most, while the NAZ was the first bubble to burst. Like lightening striking twice in the same place - highly unlikely, given the biggest buyer of tech has traditionally been the Financial Industry, highly illogical. GOLD is peaking NOW in a bubble about to burst. With stocks exploding likely within the month, gold has lost its glitter for the next 3 years, minimum. The DOLLAR, although on a longterm uptrend, must retrace to at least 73 on the Dollar Index. It will then begin its stratospheric trajectory along with stocks. Within 18 months likely 1:1 with the Euro, overtaking it by 2011. Corporate bonds will be topping longterm, concurrent with the trough in stocks. Bonds now become the riskiest of investments for capital losses.www.Exceptional-Bear.comEduardo Mirahyes The rally just ending is not enduring. The technical structure, called a Diagonal Triangle, (Diag >) indicates a dramatic reversal, once we take out the old low. Given the jittery market, we will likely have a panic bottoming. But once we do, we swiftly bounce right back to the current level in stocks and continue higher in the Mother of all Rallies headed for the final Market Orgy and Bubble Top. Although a Bear Market Rally, it should be one of the fastest markets of all time, record Monetary Stimulus = Record Euphoria. As always, Bear market Rallies are concentrated in a small group of stocks: this time the Dow 30 and the Russell 2000 are the index winners. Returns on the S&P and NASDAQ will be pale by comparison. The S&P can only make a triple top at the most, while the NAZ was the first bubble to burst. Like lightening striking twice in the same place – highly unlikely, given the biggest buyer of tech has traditionally been the Financial Industry, highly illogical. GOLD is peaking NOW in a bubble about to burst. With stocks exploding likely within the month, gold has lost its glitter for the next 3 years, minimum. The DOLLAR, although on a longterm uptrend, must retrace to at least 73 on the Dollar Index. It will then begin its stratospheric trajectory along with stocks. Within 18 months likely 1:1 with the Euro, overtaking it by 2011. Corporate bonds will be topping longterm, concurrent with the trough in stocks. Bonds now become the riskiest of investments for capital losses.

http://www.Exceptional-Bear.com

Eduardo Mirahyes

]]> By: Stock markets – keep an eye on confidence measures | The Big Picturehttp://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/comment-page-1/#comment-10071 Stock markets – keep an eye on confidence measures | The Big Picture Thu, 26 Mar 2009 12:18:08 +0000 http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2009/03/26/stock-markets-%e2%80%93-keep-an-eye-on-confidence-measures/#comment-10071 [...] Stock markets – keep an eye on confidence measures [...] [...] Stock markets – keep an eye on confidence measures [...]

]]>