Taylor Rule keeps signaling prime 10%-11%

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By Cees Bruggemans

The Taylor Rule is a simple device suggesting appropriate current short-term interest rates, given a long-term real interest rate and premiums or discounts reflecting the presence of any inflation gaps and/or output gaps.

Though policy does not have to follow Taylor Rule advice precisely, there is nonetheless a […]

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SA PMI surpassing previous record low

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By Mokgatla Madisha, Investec Asset Management.

The seasonally adjusted Investec PMI came in at 36 index points in March, surpassing the previous record low of 39.2 reached in February 2009.

The decline in output volumes accelerated in March, with the backlog of sales orders index reaching a record low 21.1 points. […]

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Stock market performance round-up: Signs of recovery

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Has an avalanche of policy actions and bank guarantees backstopped the global economy? If stock markets are a gauge of better tidings, it would seem that a bottoming phase might have started. But the jury is still out on whether the bear is simply offering a temporary reprieve. The post provides performance tables for various stock markets in both local currency and US dollar terms for different measurement periods ended March 31. […]






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“Toxic hash” recipe

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Source: Mike Lane, March 30, 2009.

 

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