The recession that was

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By Cees Bruggemans

This Easter the economy was its seventh month of recession proper (counting declining total output from October 2008) and in its tenth month of peripheral recession (counting from July 2008 excluding volatile agriculture).

We are currently probably traversing the worst patch of this cyclical downturn.

Economic data [...]

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Signs that economy is stabilizing

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The global economy appears to be stabilizing according to a research report by the Goldman Sachs Global Economics team. After having languished below 50 since the spring of 2007, their Diffusion Index increased above 50 in February and March. [...]

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Robert Shiller: Surveying the economic horizon

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This post features a thought-provoking video interview with economist Robert Shiller, discussing four aspects of the current crisis: regulating for financial innovation, reducing trust in models, redesigning institutions, and the time line for turnaround. [...]

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Used car prices versus S&P 500

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US used car prices surged by a record 8.3% in the first quarter. Interestingly, used car prices have historically tracked US equity markets pretty closely. [...]

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Jeremy Siegel: S&P’s Earnings Wrong
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Read more on S&P 500 (SPX), As-szki at Wikinvest
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Reuters SA Survey of Economists (March 2009)

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The March edition of the Reuters South African Survey of Economists has just been published. (The Reuters Econometer is a measure of economic sentiment drawn from a monthly poll of forecasts by leading economists in South Africa and abroad and presented in the form an index). The weightings used in the index are: [...]

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Timmy: “You call, we haul …”

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Hat tip: Phil’s Stock World

 

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