Alert: Shanghai and greenback threatening 200-day averages

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I mentioned in a post two days ago that all the major stock market indices were still trading above the key 200-day moving averages – an indicator of the primary trend. The Shanghai Composite Index (2,994 this morning) has since fallen to within a hair’s breadth of the 200-day line (2,989). Read on for more about this, as well as interesting developments regarding the US dollar. [...]

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Read more on U.S. Dollar (USD) at Wikinvest
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Technical Talk: A correction – not a top

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“For now the tape remains defensive and the sellers for the first time in a while are in control of that tape. While this condition exists it will be hard to see anything but shallow bounces. However, at lower levels we believe buyers will re-emerge. When they do, along with the negative sentiment and trading strategies that are currently in place, equities are likely to surge once more,” said technical analyst Kevin Lane in this guest post. [...]

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on S&P 500 (SPX), Airiq Inc at Wikinvest
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Obama’s SOTU address – textual analysis

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I have done a quick textual analysis of President Obama’s SOTU speech. As to be expected “jobs” commanded a high position, having been referred to on 29 occasions, matching “work” (x 29) and trailing just behind “people” (x 33). Although mentioned a number of times, “economy” (x 15) and “deficit” (x 10) were not quite in poll position. Oops, I almost missed 21 mentions of “tax” … [...]

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Read more on Obama's Presidential Policy, Dynamic HLDGS at Wikinvest
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Roubini: Asset bubbles have started to take shape

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Withdrawing economic stimuli and tightening monetary policy are very difficult future policy choices, but something has to be done because asset bubbles have started to take shape, Nouriel Roubini, chairman of Roubini Global Economics, told CNBC in a video interview. [...]

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Flip-Flopping Roubini is Bearish Again
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Read more on Nouriel Roubini, Assets at Wikinvest
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Picture du Jour: How the AIG bailout really worked

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While the AIG controversy rages and the enquiry into the bailout gathers momentum, Professor Linus Wilson of the University of Louisiana has put together a helpful chart showing exactly how the bailout was constructed, indicating which banks got how much. [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
Whitney Tilson’s Bullish Case: AIG
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Read more on 2008 Financial Crisis, American International Group at Wikinvest
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Deflation – more evidence

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This post features a guest contribution by Kalpa, author of the Financial News Express blog, on the very topical debate regarding deflation. [...]

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