Consumer confidence comes charging back

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By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist of FNB.

Last year’s recession has been hard for many South Africans, judging by employment losses (some 400 000 formal jobs gone), house foreclosures, nominal house price declines, reduced income and spending, the actual contraction in credit outstanding, huge bank bad debts written off, stock market still [...]

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Consumer Confidence Slides
Housing Down, Consumer Confidence Up (XLY, XLP, XHB)
Read more on Consumer confidence at Wikinvest
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Stock market valuation is stretched on long-term basis

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With the S&P 500 Index and a number of other benchmark stock market indices flirting with cycle highs, I will be monitoring things very closely over the next few days to see if the market’s overbought condition spells more downside potential than an expected consolidation. Or will the Index surprise us and fly trough the 1,151 area? Read on … [...]

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Author Michael Lewis on Wall Street’s delusion

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CBS’s “60 Minutes” has just spent two days interviewing Michael Lewis at his home in California. Lewis, of course, is the author of Liar’s Poker, The New New Thing, Moneyball, The Blind Side, Panic, Home Game and hot-off-the-press The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine. His new book explains how some of Wall Street’s finest minds managed to destroy $1.75 trillion of wealth in the subprime mortgage markets. [...]

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Outlook for financial markets, according to the charts

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I often refer to the technical analysis of Adam Hewison (INO.com) to provide insight into the most likely near-term movements of financial markets. He has just produced four short presentations on various markets, included in this post. [...]

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Challenging Conventional Assumptions
Dollar Bull Trend NOT Over
Read more on U.S. Dollar (USD) at Wikinvest
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Russia expanding its influence

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With the United States preoccupied with two wars, Russia is taking advantage of an opportunity to expand its influence and control over neighboring states. The first phase is nearly complete, and Stratfor analyst Marko Papic says pressure now is growing on the Baltics. Click through for the video. [...]

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Did Putin Just Score Us a Goldmine?
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Russia’s Top Import and Export Partners
Read more on Investing in Russia at Wikinvest
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Data confirms continuing upswing

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By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist of FNB.

Another good week of data releases, suggesting economic recovery is on track, steadily climbing out of the hole that was 2008-2009.

Electricity output rose robustly further in January, indicative our electricity-intensive sectors are steadily expanding.

With only 17% of electricity consumed by households [...]

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FNB Fixed Investment Round Table: 3Q2010
South African productivity
Read more on F.N.B. at Wikinvest
OverSeas Radio Network
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