Sushi with Dave: U.S. vs Japan

By Prieur du Plessis, on January 12th, 2011 posted in: Japan, UK Leave your comment

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The article below comes courtesy of David Rosenberg, Chief Economist and Strategist of Gluskin Sheff & Associates, showing that the U.S. post-bubble economic and financial backdrop is looking more and more like the Japanese situation of the past two decades.

CHART 1: BOTH COUNTRIES EXPERIENCED THE BURSTING OF A HOUSING BUBBLE

CHART 2: BOTH COUNTRIES EXPERIENCED A BUBBLE BURST IN HOUSING CREDIT

CHART 3: WHEN T-BILL YIELDS ARE 0%, YOU KNOW IT’S JAPAN ALL OVER AGAIN

CHART 4: UNPRECEDENTED EXPANSION OF THE CENTRAL BANK’S BALANCE SHEET

CHART 5: EVEN JAPANESE AND U.S. FISCAL POLICY LOOKS THE SAME

CHART 6: JAPAN: A MODERN DAY EXAMPLE OF A PROLONGED DELEVERAGING CYCLE

CHART 7: JAPAN’S POST-BUBBLE EXPERIENCE: ROLLING RECESSIONS AND RECOVERIES

CHART 8: INFLATION RECEDES A LONG, LONG, TIME AFTER A BUBBLE BURST

CHART 9: THE BULLISH DEMOGRAPHIC ARGUMENT FOR THE U.S.A. IS LOSING SOME ALLURE

Source: David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff & Associates – Sushi with Dave: Market & Data Musings, January 11, 2011.

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