Stock markets: two canaries calling for caution

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China and small caps – are these the proverbial canaries in the coalmine? I suspect so, especially given the overvalued, overbought and overbullish condition of stock markets. […]

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Faber’s special brand of gloom

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Why the US and Europe will outperform emerging markets this year, with Marc Faber, author of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report. He also advises investors to stock up on oil or energy equities. […]

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“Disregard the amateur warnings and ride the gold bull,” says Richard Russell

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“Lately there’s been a tide of uninformed warnings to the effect that gold is in ‘a dangerous bubble’. These anti-gold know-nothings haven’t seen a gold bubble yet, but I’m predicting that a phenomenal gold surge (call it a ‘bubble’ if you like) lies ahead,” said long-timer Richard Russell. […]

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Has Gold & Silver Finally Bottomed?
Read more on Gold, Bull market at Wikinvest
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Stiglitz urges South Africa to take action to weaken rand

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Joseph Stiglitz, economics professor at Columbia University and a recipient of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, has once again encouraged South Africa to take a more interventionist stance to weaken its exchange rate, saying that commodity-rich countries are correct to actively respond to the threat posed by over-valued currencies. […]

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Every Central Bank for Itself
South Africa to Allow Fracking
Read more on Investing in South Africa at Wikinvest
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Housing starts down, but permits provide hope

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The latest round of housing data shows residential construction has fallen again, with December housing starts dropping 4.3% below November to an annualized rate of 529,000 units. Although this decline is somewhat deeper than expected, permit extensions increased strongly by 16.7% month on month in December to an annualized rate of 635,000. […]

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Tough Doesn’t Quit, Except at Breakfast
Northern Trust Hedge Fund
Is This The Beginning Of A Larger Equity Market Correction?
Read more on Housing starts, Northern Trust, Lingui Development at Wikinvest
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Picture du Jour: Besides China, it’s (almost) all good on U.S. trade imbalances

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As shown in this post, a closer look at America’s bilateral trading relationships since the deficit high-point in 2006 reveals a significant improvement with many countries, and only a small deterioration with a few others. China – with which the U.S. has its largest deficit – is the conspicuous exception … […]

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