ECRI Index: Signaling slowdown, no recession yet

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With the increasing number of black swans in the global pond and a significantly weaker ISM Composite, does this mean that the upward leg of the current business cycle will come to an abrupt end? Read on for my take on the situation … […]






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ECRI Index: Signaling slowdown, no recession yet
ECRI Index: Signaling Slowdown, No Recession Yet
Read more on Plexus, S&P 500 (SPX), I-net at Wikinvest
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Greek debt crisis “an absolute nightmare,” says Martin Wolf

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The debt situation in Greece is an “absolute nightmare” for European officials, Martin Wolf, FT’s chief economics correspondent, told Yahoo! Finance – The Daily Ticker. “It’s just not going to get better. Essentially they have to bit the bullet. The difficultly is managing that while maintaining some financial system in Greece and avoiding massive contagion within the Eurozone,” he said. […]






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Quote du Jour: Crony capitalists in a state of denial

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“If Greece leaves the eurozone – which they should never have been admitted to in the first place – then the euro experiment is over. Germany and France cannot contemplate this happening, so Greece, Ireland, Portugal et al will be bailed out ad infinitum as the cost is tiny compared to the perceived alternative,” said Clive Hale in today’s Quote du Jour. […]






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John Paulson’s take on markets

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John Paulson, hedge fund billionaire of Paulson & Co, a few days ago addressed a Global Financial Services Conference hosted by UBS. This posts provides a short summary of his talk. […]






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Monitoring John Paulson’s Top Holdings
Monitoring John Paulson's Top Holdings
Read more on John Paulson at Wikinvest
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Kass on housing, stocks

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Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners says stocks will sell off this spring after home buyers turn out to be no shows. […]






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Jeremy Grantham: Time to be serious (and probably too early) once again

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Jeremy Grantham has become a familiar and very popular face on this site. For those treasuring his insight, wisdom and prescient calls, the co-founder and chairman of Boston-based GMO has just published Part 2 of the 1Q 2011 edition of his newsletter. His report begins with an admonition to reduce risk sooner rather than later, then looks back at some historical outlier market events, examines how Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle is faring, and offers recommendations for the future. […]






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