Emerging economies – short-term gain, longer-term pain?

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“EM economies are likely to get some much needed relief as growth slows to trend, inflation falls and policy normalisation ends in most places. Risk appetite is likely to rebound on such a benign outcome,” said Manoj Pradhan of Morgan Stanley in this guest contribution. “However, in our opinion, much of the tightening, particularly for central banks in restrictive territory, has been done via quantitative tools so that policy rates are still very low while fiscal policy remains loose. In addition, our US economics team expects a better 2H performance there. This implies that there are upside risks to EM growth and inflation.” […]






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When will China take over the world?

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In an interview with the WSJ, Eurasia Group President Ian Bremmer insists that for China to become the economic powerhouse it is predicted to become in this century, the Chinese must fundamentally restructure their economy. […]






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Laugh out Loud: Kicking the can down the road

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An excellent cartoon from Glenn McCoy. […]






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