Oil Market: Rectifying the broken paper pricing model

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“Speculators have no business in the oil market, they distort prices, and sure helped slow global growth during the past year by running up prices well beyond the fundamentals based upon actual inventory levels of the commodity,” said Dian Chu in this thoughtful guest contribution.. […]






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PIMCO’s Crescenzi on Fed, Moody’s Japan downgrade

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Anthony Crescenzi, executive vice president and strategist at PIMCO, talks about Federal Reserve monetary policy, Japan’s credit-rating downgrade and the outlook for global financial markets. Crescenzi speaks from Newport Beach, California, with Bloomberg’s Susan Li. […]






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US economy in August: Moving sideways

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“In my view, whether or not the US is IN a recession – defined as the coincident variables followed by the NBER are turning downward – is really a moot point for a good chunk of the working-aged population. It probably ‘feels’ like the economy never exited recession to many,” argues economist Rebecca Wilder in this guest post. […]






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Laugh out Loud: The Krugman Zone

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I’m sure cartoonist Michael Ramirez is not the only one with this blurred opinion of Paul Krugman … […]






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South African building cycle severely distorted

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By Cees Bruggemans, Chief Economist of FNB.

Historically, South Africa’s building industry has known long interruptions in modern times, especially after major political and financial events.

One thinks of Sharpeville and its aftermath in the early 1960s.

Also, the fallout from the 1969 stock market crash, […]

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Stock market valuation remains stretched on long-term basis

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Although grossly oversold as far as short-term technical indicators are concerned, the S&P 500 Index remains expensively valued on a long-term cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE) basis, according to Robert Shiller’s methodology. […]






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