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Prieur’s Podcast: What is the LIBOR rate telling us?
Source: StockCharts.com Post referred to in podcast: “U.S. stocks: Anticipating too much too soon?“ 5 comments to Prieur’s Podcast: What is the LIBOR rate telling us?Leave a Reply | |||||||||||
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TedSpread is climbing noticeably, nearing the middle of June 2010 area.
http://screencast.com/t/4S4Wnicxv
I try to check in on Saturdays to listen in on Coxe commentary.
Excellent accent and love getting your Postcards content.
Thanks from Connecticut.
@Keith: Thanks for the compliment re accent. (Never sure what Americans make of it.)
You may be aware that the JSE has listed a number of JIBAR futures contract which extend out 2 years. These are similiar to the Eurodollar contracts of the CME. Remember that JIBAR is more of an average NCD rate (client facing) than an interbank rate and is thus closely linked to the repo rate. This contract makes it possible to take positions and hedge SA short rates. See http://www.jse.co.za/jibarfuturesblog for more info
1.In most circumstances, Libor rates track short-term Treasury rates. 2.LIBOR rises on strong economic growth and the expectation of future rate hikes. In the midst of crisis conditions, Libor rates tend to spike, while Treasury rates fall so the spread between the 2 rates must be a better measure of a crisi than Libor alone. If both rates are rising I suspect one can expect a rate hike? I don’t have sufficient data to test the latter hypothesis.
Prieur,
Nice addition to your regular postings – I like the audio. Looking forward to your new radio show – keep us posted!
Rick